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Dunning-Kruger Effect

The Dunning-Kruger Curve Is a Meme

Everyone knows the "Mount Stupid" curve, but it is not in the 1999 paper. Kruger and Dunning found that the lowest scorers overestimated their rank; later critics showed random numbers produce much of the same pattern, and careful studies find a real but much smaller effect.

Sources (3)
  1. Kruger & Dunning (1999), "Unskilled and Unaware of It", Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (opens in a new tab)
  2. Gignac & Zajenkowski (2020), "The Dunning-Kruger effect is (mostly) a statistical artefact", Intelligence (opens in a new tab)
  3. Nuhfer et al. (2016), Numeracy (opens in a new tab)

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